You do realize that the August 1st flare you are talking about was actually pretty small right? It was a class C flare. We've had nearly 100 of those in just a month. I went through the site and tried to find anything to support your claim, but I couldn't find anything. There was one single class C flare that day. Compared to the 22nd where there were 14 of them, and 2 class M flares. I even took the time to watch a video of the sun that day, and there was nothing that I could find that was out of the ordinary.
From Geryl's site you linked:
Flare Activity on the Mayan dates. If the flare activity continues to grow… August 1, 2010: One Negative Sunspot and a Complex eruption + 1 C flare. 6 Negative Sunspots in total in this cycle. October 25-27, 2010: Negative Sunspot Complex and 4 C flares. Negative Sunspot Complex from 2 sunspots + 6 Negative Sunspots in total in this cycle. January 21-23, 2011: Negative Sunspot Complex from 2 sunspots and 8 C flares. Prediction: 6 Negative Sunspots between cycles
So I typed "negative sunspot" into google and first 2 pages were Geryls, and the rest were about him. Surprising.
I went ahead and clicked onto his page: http://www.howtosurvive2012.com/htm_night/impre_01.htm
The first line on the page:
Researcher Patrick Geryl and his team say: “We found virtually absolute proof that the doomsday will happen in 2012!”
Wait, what? Virtually absolute proof? Define: virtually - - In essence, but not in fact
So otherwords "We maybe found absolute proof" - - heh? Anyways thats off topic
For those following the current solar cycle, most would notice the slow ramp up of activity compared to the last 50 years. At the moment, Solar Cycle 24 is the slowest ramp up since the beginning of measurements in 1755! Also other factors are not following the normal pattern: the F10.7 Flux readings are staying flat and behaving in an unusual manner.
It has gone from 69.2 to around 112 since minimum. Thats about as flat as Dolly Parton. But Solar flux will fluctuate quite a bit, so ramping up isn't really part of it. My interest is here where Geryl states "beginning of measuerments in 1755". However, wikpedia states otherwise:
The solar F10.7 cm record extends back to 1947, and is the longest direct record of solar activity available, other than sunspot-related quantities.
Way off there. From Geryl again:
Not only the Solar Flux is down, but also something else has emerged that will have a large impact on Solar Cycle 24 and on our civilization. There is a new wave of sunspots that behave quite differently from the norm. We call them Negative Sunspots. They are dark single spot (alpha) regions, that began life in a normal magnetic state with their polarity showing the normal pattern. All spots in the Northern Hemisphere started with the black area leading the white, by the meridian the black area completely dominates the white area covering it completely. As the spots move off the face the polarity is reversed with the white area leading. We watch the opposite on the Southern Hemisphere.
So now we know what he is calling negative sunspots. I honestly can't make heads or tails of this. I'm no solar physicist but I can guess that either this is always what happens, or that it really doesn't happen at all and he is completely misunderstanding what is actually happening. I am also interested in the "as the spots move off the face the polarity is reversed". The face of what? The sun? From whose point of view?
Also what is "normal magnetic state" and the "normal pattern"? Does this make sense to any of you guys?
I really suggest that those who are able to see through this (not you Awesome), go to that link. If you have enough time, and you know the scientific data, than you could probably shred it to pieces. I bet a couple of our moderators could go through it line by line and find something wrong with each one. Not that I expect them to, and not to say others couldnt.
References: spaceweather.com, solen.info/solar, solarham.com
